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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Nepal's Everest region will ban commercial helicopter flights to protect the local economy and wildlife. On December 11th, local officials in Nepal said that the local government and other stakeholders have decided to ban commercial helicopter flights in the Everest region from January 1st next year to protect the local economy and wildlife. Mingema Chiri Sherpa, mayor of Khumbasan Lamu, Mount Everest, Nepal, said on the same day that the decision was made because the increase in commercial helicopter flights in Mount Everest in recent years has shortened the stay time of tourists, and helicopter noise has also interfered with wildlife in nearby national parks. Relevant decisions are being sent to helicopter operators, travel agencies and tourism enterprises through letters.Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.

Australian Government: Australia will provide Papua New Guinea with $600 million in 10 years to help rugby league teams enter Australia's top leagues.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The purpose of the opposition's impeachment is to evade the legal responsibility of its leader Li Zaiming by holding an early general election.Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.

Rare! The Indian opposition applied to impeach the Vice President. According to the Indian Express, the opposition coalition of the Indian Parliament filed an application on the 10th to impeach Jagdeep Dhankar, the Indian Vice President and Speaker of the House of Lords, on the grounds that Dhankar "presided over the agenda of the House of Lords in an extremely biased way". This is the first time in Indian history that such impeachment has been proposed. (Global Times)On the occasion of Yin Xiyue's speech, the increase of KOSPI index in South Korea narrowed to 0.3%, and it rose by 1.1% earlier.China Bank's RMB clearing volume in Australia exceeded 100 trillion yuan. According to Bank of China, recently, Bank of China Sydney Branch and Bank of China Hong Kong jointly held a RMB forum in Sydney to celebrate the 10th anniversary of being an Australian RMB clearing bank. As the only RMB clearing bank in the South Pacific at present, in the past ten years, China Bank has taken root in Australia and South Pacific, continuously expanded its clearing network, cooperated with four local banks and other financial institutions in Australia, and became the main channel for RMB clearing of local important banks, providing RMB clearing volume of more than 100 trillion yuan.